KYIV
INTERNATIONAL
INSTITUTE of
SOCIOLOGY
sociological and
marketing
research
tel. 537-3376
office@kiis.com.ua

ESC or click to close

"Intentions of Ukraine" - results of conjoint nationwide sociological survey KIIS and SOCIS

All-Ukrainian civic organization “Committee of voters of Ukraine” presents the results of nationwide sociological survey “Nastroi Ukrainy (Intentions of Ukraine)” held by two sociological services - Center for Social and Marketing Research “SOCIS” and Kiev International Institute of Sociology.

Survey was conducted by two research centers in a period from January 24 to February 1, 2014 throughout Ukraine using the method of personal interviews in the places of living of respondents. The method of respondents selection - a quota sample (on the basis of age and gender).

The sample aged 18 and above is representative for Ukraine in general (2400 respondents) in terms of age, gender and type of settlement (urban / rural).

Statistical sampling error (confidence interval) is +/- 2.0%.

Attitude to the protests

Thoughts of the Ukrainians about protests were divided almost equally. Number of respondents who supports the protest intentions of citizens is almost 47% (26.8% - fully support, 20.9% - rather support). Do not support the protests - 46% (31.3% - do not support, 14.8% - rather not).

Support of the protests, %

Fully suport 26.8
Rather support 20.9
Rather do not support 14.8
Do not support 31.3
Difficult to say 6.3

The vast majority of citizens (63.3%) believes that to gain a positive outcome of the protest, the public negotiations with authorities should be held, and only 11.1% think that it is better to the use the force.

How should protesters act in defending their rights, %

Public negotiations with authority 63.3
Continue peaceful protests 20.1
Switch to more decisive actions, to use force 11.1
Difficult to say 5.5

Respondents also expressed their opinion on who should be the leader of  political protests to manage actions against the government. Most citizens voted for  V. Klychko (20.4%), 12.6% - for P.Poroshenko, 6.3% - for A.Yatseniuk.

Who should be the leader of political protests, %

Vitaliy Klychko 20.4
Petro Poroshenko 12.6
Arsyeniy Yatseniuk 6.3
Yulia Tymoshenko 5.9
Anatoliy Grytsenko 3.1
Oleg Tyahnybok 2.9
Yuriy Lutsenko 0.9
Oleg Lyashko 0.8
Victor Yushchenko 0.1
Another leader 6.6
Difficult to say, refusal from responding 41.1

Electoral intentions of the Ukrainians

Ukrainians show a fairly high level of electoral activity, because about 80% of voters are ready or rather willing to participate in voting. At the same time, the amount of those, who has the opposite opinion is around 16%.

Willingness to participate in the voting on Presidential election in Ukraine, %

Yes (clearly, completely sure) 53.7
Rather yes (perhaps, probably) 26.9
Rather no (perhaps, probably) 5.8
No (clearly, completely sure) 9.2
Difficult to say 4.4

As for the electoral preferences in the presidential elections, electoral orientation of the Ukrainians divided as follows: if presidential elections were held next Sunday, 20,9% would support the current president Viktor Yanukovych , 20.1% would vote for V. Klitschko, and 13,0% - for  P.Poroshenko. A.Yatsenyuk, in turn, would receive 6.4% of the votes, the leader of the Communist Party P.Symonenko - 3.8%, and the leader of UU "Svoboda" Tyahnybok - 2.8%.

About 28% of voters said they did not know whom to vote for, and they were not sure whether they would come to the elections.

Ratings of the potential candidates on the presidential elections, %

  Amongst all respondents Amongst those, who will come and has already decided whom to vote for
Victor Yanukovych 20.9 29.5
Vitaliy Klychko 20.1 28.7
Petro Poroshenko 13.0 18.6
Arsyeniy Yatseniuk 6.4 9.2
Petro Symonenko 3.8 4.7
Oleg Tyahnybok 2.8 3.8
Victor Medvedchuk 0.5 0.7
Another candidate 3.8 4.9
WOULD NOT PARTICIPATE 12.4
REFUSAL FROM RESPONDING/ DO NOT KNOW/ DIFFICULT TO ANSWER 16.4

If Y. Tymoshenko would be amongst the candidates on the elections (and if A. Yatseniuk would not be, respectively), the votes of the Ukrainians would be distributed in the following way: V. Yanukovych keeps the leadership – 20,8%, second place is occupied by V. Klychko – 16,1%, third place is for Y. Tymoshenko – 13,9%, P. Poroshenko would get 11,2% of votes, the leader of Communist party of Ukraine P.Symonenko – 3,3%, the leader of UU “Svoboda” O. Tyahnybok – 2,0%.

Ratings of the potential candidates on presidential elections, including Y. Tymoshenko as a candidate, %

  Amongst all respondents Amongst those, who will come and has already decided whom to vote for
Victor Yanukovych 20.8 29.2
Vitaliy Klychko 16.1 22.8
Yuliya Tymoshenko 13.9 19.1
Petro Poroshenko 11.2 15.9
Petro Symonenko 3.3 4.3
Oleg Tyahnybok 2.0 2.8
Victor Medvedchuk 0.5 0.6
Another candidate 4.0 5.4
WOULD NOT PARTICIPATE 12.5
REFUSAL FROM RESPONDING/ DO NOT KNOW/ DIFFICULT TO ANSWER 15.8

 

As for the electoral preferences regarding parties, electoral orientation of the Ukrainians divided as follows: Party of Regions takes the first place with 21,9% of voters, party “Udar” – 17,0%, UU “Batkivschyna” takes the third place – 15,6%, party “Solidarnist” would get 7,5% of votes, Communist party of Ukraine and UU “Svoboda”  also would have significant support from Ukraine`s population – 4,6% and 4,0% respectively. Other parties would have less than 1% of votes.

It is necessary to note, that around a quarter of voters said they did not know which party to vote for and whether they would come to the polls on the day of the elections to the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine, if they occurred shortly.

Ratings of political parties, %

  Amongst all respondents Amongst those, who will come and has already decided whom to vote for
Party of Regions 21.9 29.2
Party “Udar” 17.0 23.4
Party UU “Batkivshchyna” 15.6 21.4
Party “Solidarnist” 7.5 9.8
Communist party of Ukraine 4.6 5.8
UU “Svoboda” 4.0 5.6
Radical Party of Oleg Lyashko 0.9 1.1
Party “Ukrainskyi vybir” 0.7 0.8
Another party 2.1 2.7
REFUSAL FROM RESPONDING/ DO NOT KNOW/ DIFFICULT TO ANSWER 12.0
REFUSAL FROM RESPONDING/ DO NOT KNOW/ DIFFICULT TO ANSWER 13.9

Foreign policy in Ukraine

The respondents in the survey identified further course of foreign policy, which  Ukraine should follow. Thus, 55.2% of citizens support Ukraine's accession to the European Union, and 44.8% would vote for joining the Customs Union, if such a referendum was held in the near future.

Foreign policy in Ukraine, %

  Amongst all respondents Amongst those, who will come and has already decided whom to vote for
Would vote for joining the European Union 44.5 55.2
Would vote for joining Customs Union with Russia, Belarus, Kazakhstan 36.1 44.8
Would not participate 9.4
DTS/ REFUSAL FROM RESPONDING 10.0

 

 


7.2.2014
Go up | Back
FILTR BY DATE
Year:
Month: