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Socio-political moods of the population of Ukraine: current political events according to the results of a telephone survey conducted on November 26-29, 2021
On November 26-29, 2021, the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology (KIIS) conducted an all-Ukrainian public opinion poll. By the method of computer-assisted telephone interviews (CATI) based on a random sample of mobile telephone numbers (with random generation of telephone numbers and subsequent statistical weighing) were interviewed 1203 respondents living in all regions of Ukraine (except AR of Crimea). The sample is representative of the adult population (18 years and older) of Ukraine. The sample does not include territories that are temporarily not controlled by the authorities of Ukraine - the Autonomous Republic of Crimea, some districts of Donetsk and Luhansk regions.
In Luhansk and Donetsk regions, the poll was conducted only in the territory controlled by the Ukrainian authorities.
The statistical error of the sample (with a probability of 0.95 and taking into account the design effect of 1.1) does not exceed: 3.2% for indicators close to 50%, 2.7% for indicators close to 25%, 2.1% - for indicators close to 12%, 1.4% - for indicators close to 5%.
Direction of affairs in Ukraine
Over the last month, the share of those who believe that affairs in the country are moving in the wrong direction has increased from 61.7% to 65.9%. At the same time, the share of those who speak about the right direction decreased from 22.7% to 18.6%.
In general, in your opinion, events in Ukraine are moving in the right or wrong direction?
Attitude to V. Zelenskyi's candidacy for the second presidential term
The majority of respondents (58.2%) do not support V. Zelenskyi running for a second term. Support – 34.3%.
Do you support Volodymyr Zelenskyi running for his second presidential term in the 2024 elections?
Attitude towards remote voting via the Internet
The majority of respondents (65.9%) are negative about the possible introduction of remote voting via the Internet, positive – 29%. Although negative attitudes predominate among all age groups, at the same time the younger the respondents, the better the attitude to remote voting via the Internet.
Representatives of the authorities have repeatedly stated their intention to introduce online remote voting in the elections. How do you feel about this idea?
Effectiveness of V. Zelenskyi as the Supreme Commander-in-Chief in the event of a possible Russian invasion and attitude to the possible imposition of martial law
Among the respondents there are more who believe that in the event of Russia's invasion V. Zelenskyi will not be able to work effectively as Supreme Commander-in-Chief – 51.6% of respondents think so, compared to 35.9% who believe that he can work effectively.
In the event of a full-scale Russian invasion, which is now being warned about by Ukrainian and foreign intelligence, Volodymyr Zelenskyi is able or unable to work effectively as Supreme Commander-in-Chief and organize the country's defense?
Herewith, 32.8% of respondents support martial law in response to Russia's increase in troops along the border, 58.1% do not support it%.
You generally support or do not support the imposition of martial law in response to Russia's increasing troops along the border with Ukraine with a view to a possible invasion of our country?
Opinions and views of respondents on who of the Ukrainian Presidents was the best commander-in-chief and head of foreign policy
To the question who of the Ukrainian Presidents best coped with the duties of the Supreme Commander-in-Chief, the majority of respondents named L. Kuchma (22.8%) and P. Poroshenko (21.9%), the difference is statistically insignificant. To the question who of the Ukrainian presidents best coped with the duties of foreign policy leader, most respondents named P. Poroshenko (25%) and L. Kuchma (23.4%), the difference is statistically insignificant.
In your opinion, who of the Presidents did the best in the post of Commander-in-Chief? / And who, in your opinion, best coped with the duties of head of foreign policy of Ukraine and domestic diplomacy?
Boycott by "Sluha Narodu" of TV channels "Ukraina" and "Ukraina 24"
Half of the respondents (49.6%) believe that the decision of the "Sluha Narodu" not to go on the air of "Ukraina" and "Ukraina 24" is based on intolerance of criticism. Consider this to be just indignation due to the bias of TV channels - 20.2%.
The "Sluha Narodu" party recently announced a boycott of "Ukraina" and "Ukraina 24". How do you feel about this decision?
Adoption of the Law on Deoligarchization
Respondents first of all perceive the intentions of de-oligarchization as a populist step to raise the rating (36% think so). Also, 20.7% consider it an attempt to take control of TV channels owned by the oligarchs. About 18% believe that this is a step that will make Ukraine successful, and that it is a sincere desire for justice. 17.5% perceive this as an attempt by V. Zelenskyi and his entourage to redistribute property and become oligarchs themselves.
President V. Zelenskyi announced his intention to de-oligarchize Ukraine and signed a law. In your opinion, this is…. Choose no more than 2 answers.
Disruption of the special operation of the Ukrainian special services to detain Wagner's private army militants
65.7% of Ukrainians know about failure of special operation of Ukrainian special services to detain Wagner private army militants, although only 20.6% say they are well informed and 33.2% say they have only heard something but do not know the details. At the same time, the level of awareness has increased over the last month (in October 51.5% heard at least something about it).
Did you know, have you heard, read or seen about the failure of the special operation of the Ukrainian special services to detain militants from Wagner's Russian private army - "Wagnergate"?
Among the respondents who heard at least something, most respondents (37.4%) impose responsibility for the transfer (drain) of information from the top political leadership of Ukraine. Another 20.3% believe that this was due to lack of professionalism and mistakes of the top political leadership of Ukraine. Інші варіанти обирали менше респондентів.
In your opinion, what is the main reason for the failure of the special operation of the Ukrainian special services to detain militants from Wagner's Russian private army - "Wagnergate"? Choose only one answer.
(%among respondents who are well informed or have heard something about the failure of the special operation)
Exept this, 39.2% of respondents trust V. Burba's information that the intervention of the President's Office led to the disruption of the special operation, and there are people in the Office who give out secret information to Russia. Do not trust - 38.6%.
Vasyl Burba, a former head of the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense, said that a special operation to detain Russian war criminals from Wagner's army had been interrupted by the President's Office, and that there were people inside the Office leaking secret information to Russia. You trust or do not trust this information?
Crisis phenomena in energy
Most respondents (34.9%) believe that the main cause of the energy crisis is the incompetence of the Ukrainian government. This is followed by explanations such as deliberate actions of oligarchs (21.9%) and corruption of the government (17.6%).
You agree or disagree that there are current energy crises in Ukraine? IF “YES”: In your opinion, what is the main reason for this situation? ONE ANSWER
At the same time, according to 29.5% of respondents, they have faced cases of electricity outages in their homes since the beginning of the current heating season.
Have you personally encountered electricity outages in your apartment / house since the beginning of the heating season?