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Attitudes towards Ukraine's accession to the EU and NATO, attitudes towards direct talks with Vladimir Putin and the perception of the military threat from Russia: the results of a telephone survey conducted on December 13-16, 2021

During December 13-16, 2021, the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology (KIIS) conducted an all-Ukrainian public opinion poll. By the method of computer-assisted telephone interviews (CATI) based on a random sample of mobile telephone numbers (with random generation of telephone numbers and subsequent statistical weighing) were interviewed 1203 respondents living in all regions of Ukraine (except AR of Crimea). The sample is representative of the adult population (18 years and older) of Ukraine. The sample does not include territories that are temporarily not controlled by the authorities of Ukraine - the Autonomous Republic of Crimea, some districts of Donetsk and Luhansk regions.

In Luhansk and Donetsk regions, the survey was conducted only in the territory controlled by the Ukrainian authorities.

The statistical error of the sample (with a probability of 0.95 and taking into account the design effect of 1.1) does not exceed: 3.2% for indicators close to 50%, 2.7% for indicators close to 25%, 2.1% - for indicators close to 12%, 1.4% - for indicators close to 5%.

           

           


Attitude towards Ukraine's accession to the EU and NATO

 

The vast majority of respondents in the event of a referendum would support both Ukraine's accession to the EU and NATO. In the case of a referendum on accession the EU, 67.1% among all respondents would vote "for", 21.6% - "against". The rest of the respondents would not vote or did not decide on a choice (usually, both of these categories of respondents do not participate in referendums as a result). Thus, among those who would take part in the referendum, 75.7% would support EU accession.

In the case of a referendum regarding NATO accession, 59.2% among all respondents would vote "for", 28.1% - "against". Thus, among those who would take part in the referendum, 67.8% would support NATO accession.

 

Diagram 1

 If a referendum on Ukraine's accession to… was held next Sunday, how would you vote?

 


The vast majority of West / Center residents support both EU and NATO accession. In the South / East, support for Euro-Atlantic integration is lower. At the same time, in the case of joining the EU, the majority in the referendum would support such a decision, and in the case of joining NATO, the votes "for" and "against" would be divided almost equally.

 

Diagram 2

 If a referendum on Ukraine's accession to… was held next Sunday, how would you vote?


Attitude to direct negotiations with Vladimir Putin

 

 

The majority of respondents - 58.1% - believe that negotiations with V. Putin should be conducted only with the participation of Western partners. 26.6% of respondents consider direct talks between V. Zelenskyi and V. Putin an effective way to achieve peace.

 

Diagram 3

 There are differing views on Volodymyr Zelenskyi's proposal for direct negotiations with Russian President Vladimir Putin. Which of these statements do you agree with the most?

 

 


The vast majority of respondents do not believe that direct talks between V. Zelenskyi and V. Putin will lead to the return of Crimea (84.4% do not believe) and the occupied part of Donbas (66,3%).

 

Diagram 4

 Do you believe or not, that direct talks between Volodymyr Zelenskyi and Vladimir Putin will lead to a return of… ?


Military threat from Russia

 

 

49.2% of respondents believe that the threat of Russia's invasion on the territory of Ukraine is real. Believed that there will be no invasion - 41.4%.

 

Diagram 5

 Should the accumulation of Russian troops on the border with Ukraine be perceived as a real threat of invasion on the territory of Ukraine in the winter and spring of 2022?

 


The majority of respondents - 57.8% - believe that the government's diplomatic and defense efforts to prevent Russia's invasion are insufficient. Consider the efforts sufficient - 27.1%.

                                                                                                      

Diagram 6

 In your opinion, the Ukrainian authorities are making enough or not enough diplomatic and defense efforts to prevent a full-scale Russian invasion?

 


39.2% of respondents believe that accepting V. Putin's demand not to admit Ukraine to NATO will weaken Ukraine's security, as it will only inflame V. Putin's aggression towards Ukraine. It is believed that the adoption of such a requirement will strengthen Ukraine's security, as it will weaken V. Putin's aggression against Ukraine - 29.7%. Another 31.1% of respondents were undecided.

 

Diagram 7

 Russian President Vladimir Putin is demanding that the West commit itself not to expand NATO to the East, which means denying Ukraine the prospect of NATO membership. In your opinion, such a step …?

 

 


24.12.2021
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