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Thoughts of the population of Ukraine regarding Yulia Tymoshenko responsibility for Y. Scherban murder

Kyiv International Institute of Sociology conducted their own poll during the February 8-17, 2013. 2032 respondents were interviewed; survey covered all regions of Ukraine (including the city of Kyiv) and Crimea; sample was random and representative for the population of Ukraine aged 18 years and older.

Statistical sample deviation (with probability of 0.95 and design-effect of 1.5) does not exceed:

3.3% for index close to 50%,

2,8% — for index close to 25%,

2,0% — for index close to 10%,

1,4% — for index close to 5%.

 

Respondents were asked as follows: "Do you believe that Y. Tymoshenko organized a contract killing of Y. Scherban?"

The study found that the vast majority of the population of Ukraine, namely 76%, do not believe that Yulia Tymoshenko ordered the murder of Yeugene Scherban, 24% of respondents believe in such possibility. 

The answers to this question show that:

  • In all regions of Ukraine the majority of the population does not believe that Y. Tymoshenko organized a contract killing of Y. Scherban. The vast majority of those who believe in possibility of ordering the killing is concentrated in Eastern and Southern regions (37% in each region); but the number of those who do not believe, is much higher (64% in the East and 63% in the Southern region). The vast majority of those who do not believe in such a possibility lives in the West (90%) and in the Central (87%) region.

  • There is no such party, most of whose followers believe in ordering a killing. The biggest part of those who believe in the possibility of ordering the murder by Yulia Tymoshenko, is among the electorate of the Party of Regions (41%), but more than half of the supporters of the Party of Regions does not believe in such a possibility (59%). Also among the supporters of the Communist Party of Ukraine the biggest part does not believe in the possibility of order of a killing (63%); 37% of the electorate of the party do believe in the above. The largest number of those who do not believe in the possibility of order of a killing is  the electorate of oppositional parties: Political Party Ukrainian Nationwide Coalescing "Batkivschyna" and Political Party "Front of Changes" (96% each),  Political Party Ukrainian Nationwide Coalescing "Svoboda" (92%), this number is somewhat less among supporters of Political Party “UDAR” headed by Vitaliy Klychko (85%).

  • The number of those who do not believe in the possibility of ordering the murder by Yulia Tymoshenko is slightly bigger among women than among men (78% vs. 75%); 25% of men and 22% of women admit such a possibility.

  • The older respondent is, the stronger his confidence in possibility of such an order of a killing is. The smallaes number of believers is found among young people aged 18-29 (21%), the biggest one among people aged 60-69 years (27%). The biggest number of non-believers is found among youth and middle-age people age 18-29 years (79%) and 30-39 years (78%).

  • In terms of level of education there were found no significant differences.

 

Application

 

Do you believe in the fact that it was Y. Tymoshenko who organized a contract killing of Y. Scherban?

  Ukraine in general, % West Central area South East
Yes 23.6 9.9 13.5 37.2 36.5
No 76.4 90.1 86.5 62.8 63.5
TOTAL 100 100 100 100 100

By sex:

  Male Female
Yes 25 22.4
No 75 77.6
TOTAL 100.0 100.0

By age:

  18–29 30–39 40–49 50–59 60-69 70+
Yes 20.9 21.6 23.6 26.0 27.0 24.8
No 79.1 78.4 76.4 74.0 73.0 75.2
TOTAL 100 100 100 100 100 100

By educational level:

  Incomplete Secondary Complete Secondary Vocational Secondary Higher
Yes 24.2 25.1 24.1 22.7
No 75.8 74.9 75.9 77.3
TOTAL 100 100 100 100


By political preferences:

Those, who would vote for the party, if the elections were held in the nearest Sunday Yes No TOTAL
Party of Regions (M. Azarov, S. Tigipko) 41 59 100
Communist Party of Ukraine (P. Symonenko) 37 63 100
Political Party “UDAR” headed by V. Klychko 15 85 100
Political Party Ukrainian Nationwide Coalescing "Svoboda" (O. Tiagnibok) 8 92 100
Political Party “Front of changes” (A. Yatseniuk) 4 96 100
Political Party Ukrainian Nationwide Coalescing "Batkivschyna" (Y. Tymoshenko) 4 96 100

 


13.3.2013
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