Thoughts of the population of Ukraine regarding Yulia Tymoshenko responsibility for Y. Scherban murder
Kyiv International Institute of Sociology conducted their own poll during the February 8-17, 2013. 2032 respondents were interviewed; survey covered all regions of Ukraine (including the city of Kyiv) and Crimea; sample was random and representative for the population of Ukraine aged 18 years and older.
Statistical sample deviation (with probability of 0.95 and design-effect of 1.5) does not exceed:
3.3% for index close to 50%,
2,8% — for index close to 25%,
2,0% — for index close to 10%,
1,4% — for index close to 5%.
Respondents were asked as follows: "Do you believe that Y. Tymoshenko organized a contract killing of Y. Scherban?"
The study found that the vast majority of the population of Ukraine, namely 76%, do not believe that Yulia Tymoshenko ordered the murder of Yeugene Scherban, 24% of respondents believe in such possibility.
The answers to this question show that:
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In all regions of Ukraine the majority of the population does not believe that Y. Tymoshenko organized a contract killing of Y. Scherban. The vast majority of those who believe in possibility of ordering the killing is concentrated in Eastern and Southern regions (37% in each region); but the number of those who do not believe, is much higher (64% in the East and 63% in the Southern region). The vast majority of those who do not believe in such a possibility lives in the West (90%) and in the Central (87%) region.
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There is no such party, most of whose followers believe in ordering a killing. The biggest part of those who believe in the possibility of ordering the murder by Yulia Tymoshenko, is among the electorate of the Party of Regions (41%), but more than half of the supporters of the Party of Regions does not believe in such a possibility (59%). Also among the supporters of the Communist Party of Ukraine the biggest part does not believe in the possibility of order of a killing (63%); 37% of the electorate of the party do believe in the above. The largest number of those who do not believe in the possibility of order of a killing is the electorate of oppositional parties: Political Party Ukrainian Nationwide Coalescing "Batkivschyna" and Political Party "Front of Changes" (96% each), Political Party Ukrainian Nationwide Coalescing "Svoboda" (92%), this number is somewhat less among supporters of Political Party “UDAR” headed by Vitaliy Klychko (85%).
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The number of those who do not believe in the possibility of ordering the murder by Yulia Tymoshenko is slightly bigger among women than among men (78% vs. 75%); 25% of men and 22% of women admit such a possibility.
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The older respondent is, the stronger his confidence in possibility of such an order of a killing is. The smallaes number of believers is found among young people aged 18-29 (21%), the biggest one among people aged 60-69 years (27%). The biggest number of non-believers is found among youth and middle-age people age 18-29 years (79%) and 30-39 years (78%).
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In terms of level of education there were found no significant differences.
Application
Do you believe in the fact that it was Y. Tymoshenko who organized a contract killing of Y. Scherban?
|
Ukraine in general, % |
West |
Central area |
South |
East |
Yes |
23.6 |
9.9 |
13.5 |
37.2 |
36.5 |
No |
76.4 |
90.1 |
86.5 |
62.8 |
63.5 |
TOTAL |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
By sex:
|
Male |
Female |
Yes |
25 |
22.4 |
No |
75 |
77.6 |
TOTAL |
100.0 |
100.0 |
By age:
|
18–29 |
30–39 |
40–49 |
50–59 |
60-69 |
70+ |
Yes |
20.9 |
21.6 |
23.6 |
26.0 |
27.0 |
24.8 |
No |
79.1 |
78.4 |
76.4 |
74.0 |
73.0 |
75.2 |
TOTAL |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
By educational level:
|
Incomplete Secondary |
Complete Secondary |
Vocational Secondary |
Higher |
Yes |
24.2 |
25.1 |
24.1 |
22.7 |
No |
75.8 |
74.9 |
75.9 |
77.3 |
TOTAL |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
By political preferences:
Those, who would vote for the party, if the elections were held in the nearest Sunday |
Yes |
No |
TOTAL |
Party of Regions (M. Azarov, S. Tigipko) |
41 |
59 |
100 |
Communist Party of Ukraine (P. Symonenko) |
37 |
63 |
100 |
Political Party “UDAR” headed by V. Klychko |
15 |
85 |
100 |
Political Party Ukrainian Nationwide Coalescing "Svoboda" (O. Tiagnibok) |
8 |
92 |
100 |
Political Party “Front of changes” (A. Yatseniuk) |
4 |
96 |
100 |
Political Party Ukrainian Nationwide Coalescing "Batkivschyna" (Y. Tymoshenko) |
4 |
96 |
100 |
13.3.2013