Press releases and reports
Socio-political situation in Ukraine: September 2015
Main findings:
-
Petro Poroshenko Bloc and All-Ukrainian Union "Fatherland"( Batkivshchyna) are at the top of pre-election rating for parliamentary and local elections, followed by Self-Reliance party (“Samopomich”) and Opposition Bloc.
-
After the parliamentary election in October 2014, the party whose rating has dropped the most is the Peoples' Front (“Narodnyi front”). The ratings of Petro Poroshenko Bloc and Self-Reliance party raised first and then slightly dropped and returned to the level of 2014 parliamentary election. The rating of Fatherland has declined compared with July 2015 but is significantly higher in comparison with the 2014 elections.
-
Petro Poroshenko is the leader in the presidential rating (25%), followed by Yulia Tymoshenko in second place (20%). Other candidates receive less than 9%.
-
Most people negatively evaluate the job of Petro Poroshenko as President and Arseniy Yatsenyuk’s job as Prime Minister.
-
Most Ukrainians want conflict in Donbas to be resolved through negotiations. At the same time major part of Ukrainians distrust Minsk agreements, do not think that those agreements are fulfilling and hold an opinion that “the Russian leadership will not contribute to the full implementation of the agreements Minsk”.
Between September 17 and September 27, 2015 Kiev International Institute of Sociology (KIIS) conducted the nation-wide public opinion poll on a client’s request. The poll was conducted in 110 settlements in all regions of Ukraine (except the Autonomous Republic of Crimea) using a four-stage random sampling design with quota selection at the last stage, which is representative for adult population of Ukraine (aged 18 and over). Totally 2041 respondents were interviewed face-to-face during the field stage.
In Donetsk and Luhansk regions the poll was conducted only in territories controlled by Ukraine’s government forces.
Statistical sample error (with probability of 0.95 and design-effect of 1.5) does not exceed 3.3% for indicators close to 50%; 2.8% for indicators close to 25%; 2.0% for indicators close to 10%; 1.4% for indicators close to 5%.
Electoral moods of the population in the elections to the Verkhovna Rada
If elections to the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine took place at the end of September, with all citizens of Ukraine at the age of 18 years –
-
11.6% would vote for Petro Poroshenko Bloc,
-
11.0% – for the All-Ukrainian Union "Fatherland"(Batkivshchyna),
-
7.5% – for the Self-Reliance party (Samopomich),
-
6.4% – for the Opposition Bloc,
-
4.3% – for the Radical Party of Oleh Lyashko,
-
3.8% – for the Right Sector party (Pravyi sector),
-
2.3% – for the Civic Position party (Gromadyanska pozitsiya)
-
1.9% – for the All-Ukrainian Union "Svoboda",
-
1.5% – for the party "Left opposition",
-
1.3% – for the Party of ordinary people ("Partiya prostyh ludej"),
-
1.3% – for the party UKROP,
-
1.2% – for the party "Strong Ukraine" ("Sylna Ukraina"),
-
0.9% – for the party Revival ("Vidrodzhenna"),
-
0.7% – for the Party of resolute citizens ("Partiya rishuchyh gromadyan"),
-
0.7% – for the Peoples' Front ("Narodnyi front"),
-
0.5% – for the party Public control ("Narodnyi control"),
-
For all other parties in total – 1.3%,
-
2.1% – cross out all parties / spoil the ballot,
-
14.2% – decided not to participate in voting,
-
25.3% – were unsure or have not decided yet for whom to vote.
So if those who have not decided for whom to vote, as usual, did not come to the elections, voting would take about 58% of voters, and presented data would be distributed as follows (in fact, these indicators the nearest to the possible results of the elections if they were held at the end of September):
-
19.9% would vote for the Petro Poroshenko Bloc,
-
18.8% – for the All-Ukrainian Union "Fatherland"(Batkivshchyna),
-
12.8% – for the Self-Reliance party (Samopomich),
-
11.0% – for the Opposition Bloc,
-
7.4% – for the Radical Party of Oleh Lyashko,
-
6.4% – for the Right Sector party (Pravyi sector),
-
4.0% – for the Civic Position party (Gromadyanska pozitsiya),
-
3.2% – for the All-Ukrainian Union "Svoboda",
-
2.6% – for the party "Left opposition",
-
2.3% – for the Party of ordinary people ("Partiya prostyh ludej"),
-
2.2% – for the party UKROP,
-
2.0% – for the party "Strong Ukraine" ("Sylna Ukraina"),
-
1.5% – for the party Revival ("Vidrodzhenna"),
-
1.3% – for the Party of resolute citizens ("Partiya rishuchyh gromadyan"),
-
1.3% – or the Peoples' Front ("Narodnyi front"),
-
0.9% – for the party Public control ("Narodnyi control"),
-
For all other parties in total - 2.3%.
The following table compares the ratings of parties with ratings of March and July 2015 and the results of elections of 2014.
|
Oct.14 |
March.15 |
July.15 |
Sep.15 |
Petro Poroshenko Bloc |
21.7 |
26.7 |
23.5 |
19.9 |
All-Ukrainian Union "Fatherland"(Batkivshchyna) |
5.7 |
11.5 |
22.7 |
18.8 |
Self-Reliance party (Samopomich) |
11.0 |
17.1 |
12.2 |
12.8 |
Opposition Bloc |
9.5 |
10.2 |
7.2 |
11.0 |
Radical Party of Oleh Lyashko |
7.5 |
8.4 |
10.2 |
7.4 |
Right Sector party (Pravyi sector |
1.8 |
5.2 |
5.4 |
6.4 |
Civic Position party (Gromadyanska pozitsiya) |
3.1 |
4.8 |
5.5 |
4.0 |
All-Ukrainian Union Freedom ("Svoboda") |
4.7 |
4.1 |
3.9 |
3.2 |
Left opposition |
3.9 |
2.6 |
1.9 |
2.6 |
Party of ordinary people ("Partiya prostyh ludej") |
--- |
--- |
--- |
2.3 |
UKROP |
--- |
--- |
--- |
2.2 |
Strong Ukraine ("Sylna Ukraina") |
3.1 |
--- |
2.1 |
2.0 |
Revival ("Vidrodzhenna"), |
--- |
--- |
--- |
1.5 |
Party of resolute citizens ("Partiya rishuchyh gromadyan") |
--- |
--- |
--- |
1.3 |
Peoples' Front ("Narodnyi front") |
22.2 |
6.6 |
2.8 |
1.3 |
Public control ("Narodnyi control") |
--- |
--- |
--- |
0.9 |
Other party |
5.9 |
2.8 |
2.6 |
2.3 |
Electoral moods of the population in elections of the President of Ukraine
If the presidential election in Ukraine were held at the end of September, with all citizens of Ukraine at the age of 18 years –
-
13.7% would vote for Petro Poroshenko,
-
11.1% – for Julia Tymoshenko,
-
4.8% – for Yuri Boiko,
-
4.7% – for Andriy Sadovyi,
-
4.4% – for Anatoliy Hrytsenko,
-
4.3% – for Dmytro Yarosh,
-
4.2% – for Oleh Lyashko,
-
1.3% – for Boryslav Bereza,
-
1.3% – for Oleh Tyahnybok,
-
1.1% – for Sergiy Kaplin,
-
All other candidates in total 3.4%,
-
4.2% – would cross out all parties / spoil the ballot,
-
14.4% – decided not to participate in voting,
-
27.3% – were undecided who to vote for.
So if those who have not decided who to vote for, as usual, did not come to the elections, voting would take about 53% of voters, and presented data would be distributed as follows:
-
25.3% would vote for Petro Poroshenko,
-
20.5% – for Julia Tymoshenko,
-
8.8% – for Yuri Boiko,
-
8.6% – for Andriy Sadovyi,
-
8.1% – for Anatoliy Hrytsenko,
-
7.9% – for Dmytro Yarosh,
-
7.7% – for Oleh Lyashko,
-
2.4% – for Boryslav Bereza,
-
2.4% – for Oleh Tyahnybok,
-
2.0% – for Sergiy Kaplin,
-
All other candidates in total 6.3%.
In a table below presidential candidates ratings are compared with the ratings of July 2015 (% of those who is going to vote and decided who to vote for).
|
July 2015 |
September 2015 |
Petro Poroshenko |
28.6 |
25.3 |
Julia Tymoshenko |
27.2 |
20.5 |
Yuri Boiko |
5.3 |
8.8 |
Andriy Sadovyi |
9.2 |
8.6 |
Anatoliy Hrytsenko |
9.4 |
8.1 |
Dmytro Yarosh |
6.1 |
7.9 |
Oleh Lyashko |
8.2 |
7.7 |
Boryslav Bereza |
--- |
2.4 |
Oleh Tyahnybok |
3.1 |
2.4 |
Sergiy Kaplin |
--- |
2.0 |
Other |
2.9 |
6.3 |
Electoral moods of the population in local elections
Asked "If elections to the local authorities (regional council, district council or city council) were held next Sunday, would you participate in the voting? And what would be your choice, if the list of parties was like this one?” the answers of respondents were as follows. Among all voting-age citizens (18+),
-
9.4% would vote for a candidate representing the All-Ukrainian Union "Fatherland",
-
8.6% - Petro Poroshenko Bloc,
-
7.1% - Self-Reliance party (Samopomich),
-
5.6% - Opposition Bloc,
-
2.6% - Radical Party of Oleh Lyashko,
-
2.3% - Right Sector,
-
1.8% - UKROP,
-
1.6% - Svoboda,
-
1.5% - Civic Position party,
-
1.1% - Revival,
-
0.9% - Party of ordinary people ("Partiya prostyh ludej"),
-
0.7% - Party of resolute citizens ("Partiya rishuchyh gromadyan"),
-
0.6% - Left Opposition,
-
0.5% - Public control,
-
For all other parties in total 2.7%,
-
1.4% – cross out all parties / spoil the ballot,
-
14.0% – decided not to participate in voting,
-
36.5% – were unsure or have not decided yet who to vote for.
So if those who have not decided for whom to vote, as usual, did not come to the elections, voter turnout would be about 47%, and the votes opted for the party candidates would be distributed as follows:
-
All-Ukrainian Union "Fatherland"– 19.5%,
-
Petro Poroshenko Bloc – 18.0%,
-
Self-Reliance party (Samopomich) – 14.9%,
-
Opposition Bloc – 11.6%,
-
Radical Party of Oleh Lyashko – 5.5%,
-
Right Sector – 4.8%,
-
UKROP – 3.7%,
-
Svoboda – 3.4%,
-
Civic Position party – 3.1%,
-
Revival » – 2.3%,
-
Party of ordinary people ("Partiya prostyh ludej") – 1.9%,
-
Party of resolute citizens ("Partiya rishuchyh gromadyan") – 1.6%,
-
Left Opposition – 1.2%,
-
Public control – 1.0%,
-
All other parties in total 5.6%.
******************************************************************
Assessment of the activity of the President Petro Poroshenko and the Prime Minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk
- Among all people aged 18 years and over 58.6% disapprove of the job Petro Poroshenko is doing as President, and 27.2% approve.
- About 71.3% give negative evaluations on Prime-Minister Arseniy Yatsenuk’s job, and 17.3% evaluate his job positively.
Opinions of the population about ways to resolve the conflict in eastern Ukraine and Minsk agreements
- The question “What is the way out of the current military conflict in the Donbas you consider the most appropriate?” 78.0% of respondents answered “the continuation of negotiations and a peaceful resolution.” Option “Renewal of military actions and war to the liberation of Donbas” was supported by 12.6% of respondents. Another 9.5% did not have an opinion on the issue.
- Respondents who chose the “peaceful resolution” alternative, were asked an additional question “In your opinion, what format of negotiations would be the most effective for peaceful resolution of the conflict in Donbas?”. Responses to this question are distributed as follows:
- Should continue the current negotiations in Minsk “Norman” format – with the participation of Ukraine, Russia, Germany, France – 19.5%,
- Should start new negotiations in the new format involving leaders of the US, European Union, individual EU states (Germany, France, Poland), Russia – 33.6%,
- Should start direct negotiations between the leaders of Ukraine and Russia, without any other international participants – 20.8%,
- Should start direct negotiations between the leaders of Ukraine and DNR / LNR, without any other international participants – 11.7%,
- Other – 1%,
- Hard to say, undecided – 13.4%.
- Answering the question “Do you believe or do not believe that the implementation of Minsk agreements will help to establish peace in Donbas” 26.9% of respondents said they believe, and 60.7% - do not believe. The rest 12.3% of respondents find it difficult to answer the question.
- To the question “In your opinion, are the Minsk agreements currently …” respondents answers were distributed as follows:
- Fully or nearly fully executing – 0,7%,
- Mainly fulfilling but not completely – 20%,
- Mainly not fulfilling but there are some improvements– 42,1%,
- Not fulfilling at all– 28,8%,
- Hard to say -8.3%.
- Vast majority (63.5%) of inhabitants of Ukraine agree with the statement that “the Russian leadership will not contribute to the full implementation of the Minsk agreements”, and 17.4% - disagree.
Annex
Distribution of respondents answers to the questions
If the parliamentary election for the Verkhovna Rada were held next Sunday, are you likely to vote? IF "YES": And what would be your choice, if the list of parties was like this one?
100% in column |
Ukraine in total |
West |
Center |
South |
East |
Donbas |
Political party «Petro Poroshenko Bloc – «Solidarnist-UDAR»» (Vitaliy Klychko, Yuriy Lutsenko, Olha Bohomolets) |
11.6 |
12.6 |
13.5 |
14.0 |
8.2 |
3.3 |
Political party All-Ukrainian Union "Fatherland" (“Batkivshchyna”) (Yulia Tymoshenko, Nadia Savchenko, Sergiy Sobolev) |
11.0 |
14.5 |
13.0 |
7.2 |
7.7 |
2.4 |
Political party Self Reliance Union (Samopomich) (Andriy Sadovyi, Hanna Hopko, Semen Semenchenko) |
7.5 |
13.2 |
6.4 |
5.1 |
3.9 |
4.9 |
Radical Party of Oleh Lyashko |
4.3 |
6.0 |
4.1 |
5.1 |
2.4 |
2.4 |
Political party of resolute citizens ("Partiya rishuchyh gromadyan") (Boryslav Bereza) |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Political party Public control ("Narodnyi control") (Dmytro Dobrodomov, Oleh Musiy) |
0.5 |
0.9 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Political party People's Front (“Narodnyi front”) (Arseniy Yatsenyuk, Oleksandr Turchynov) |
0.7 |
1.6 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
Political party “Opposition Bloc” (Sergiy Liovochkin, Vadym Rabinovych, Borys Kolesnikov, Yuriy Boyko) |
6.4 |
0.5 |
2.8 |
11.9 |
12.6 |
22.0 |
Political party “Party of ordinary people of Sergiy Kaplin” ("Partiya prostyh ludej") |
1.3 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
2.5 |
0.7 |
1.6 |
Political party All-Ukrainian Union “Svoboda” (Oleh Tyahnybok) |
1.9 |
3.7 |
1.9 |
1.3 |
0.5 |
0.0 |
Political party All-Ukrainian union Left opposition (Petro Symonenko, Natalia Vitrenko) |
1.5 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
4.2 |
3.6 |
2.4 |
Political party Democratic Alliance (Vasyl Gatsko) |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.8 |
0.0 |
0.8 |
Political party Civic Position (“Gromadyanska pozitsiya”) (Anatoliy Hrytsenko) |
2.3 |
4.8 |
2.1 |
1.7 |
0.2 |
0.8 |
Political party Right Sector (“Pravyi sector”) (Dmytro Yarosh) |
3.8 |
5.9 |
3.0 |
1.7 |
4.3 |
0.8 |
Political party of Sergei Tigipko "Strong Ukraine" |
1.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
3.0 |
2.4 |
2.4 |
Political party “Ukrainian Association of Patriots UKROP” (Borys Filatov, Hennadiy Korban) |
1.3 |
1.5 |
0.6 |
0.0 |
3.4 |
0.0 |
Political party Revival ("Vidrodzhenna") (Viktor Bondar, Artem Iljuk) |
0.9 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
2.5 |
1.9 |
0.0 |
Political party Zastup (Vira Ulianchenko) |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
Party which represents your region |
0.4 |
0.9 |
0.0 |
1.3 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
Other political party |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
0.0 |
WOULD SPOIL THE BALLOT |
2.1 |
1.1 |
2.3 |
1.7 |
3.4 |
2.4 |
DON’T KNOW, UNDECIDED |
25.3 |
18.1 |
32.6 |
22.0 |
24.9 |
22.8 |
WOULD NOT VOTE |
14.2 |
11.0 |
13.2 |
11.0 |
16.9 |
30.9 |
If the presidential election in Ukraine were held next Sunday, are you likely to vote? IF "YES": And what would be your choice, if the list of candidates was like this one?
|
Ukraine in total |
West |
Center |
South |
East |
Donbas |
Boryslav Bereza |
1.3 |
0.7 |
1.4 |
1.3 |
2.2 |
0.0 |
Yuri Boiko |
4.8 |
0.9 |
1.7 |
8.2 |
11.6 |
9.8 |
Anatoliy Hrytsenko |
4.4 |
8.9 |
3.6 |
3.9 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
Dmytro Dobrodomov |
0.6 |
0.4 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
0.2 |
0.8 |
Sergiy Kaplin |
1.1 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.7 |
1.0 |
1.6 |
Oleh Lyashko |
4.2 |
4.9 |
4.5 |
5.6 |
2.7 |
1.6 |
Petro Poroshenko |
13.7 |
16.7 |
13.5 |
18.5 |
9.4 |
5.7 |
Andriy Sadovyi |
4.7 |
7.1 |
4.5 |
5.2 |
2.2 |
2.4 |
Julia Tymoshenko |
11.1 |
15.5 |
12.2 |
8.2 |
7.3 |
3.3 |
Oleh Tyahnybok |
1.3 |
2.2 |
1.4 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
0.0 |
Dmytro Yarosh |
4.3 |
7.5 |
2.6 |
2.1 |
5.1 |
0.8 |
Other |
2.8 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
4.3 |
6.5 |
2.4 |
WOULD SPOIL THE BALLOT |
4.2 |
2.5 |
4.3 |
3.9 |
6.3 |
4.9 |
WOULD NOT VOTE |
14.4 |
8.9 |
11.7 |
13.3 |
20.1 |
38.2 |
DON’T KNOW, UNDECIDED |
27.3 |
21.8 |
35.1 |
22.3 |
24.0 |
27.6 |
If elections to the local authorities (regional council, district council or city council) were held next Sunday, would you participate in the voting? IF “YES” And what would be your choice, if the list of parties was like this one?
|
Ukraine in total |
West |
Center |
South |
East |
Donbas |
Political party «Petro Poroshenko Bloc – «Solidarnist-UDAR»» (Vitaliy Klychko, Yuriy Lutsenko, Olha Bohomolets) |
8.5 |
10.2 |
9.4 |
10.5 |
5.0 |
3.3 |
Political party All-Ukrainian Union "Fatherland" (“Batkivshchyna”) (Yulia Tymoshenko, Nadia Savchenko, Sergiy Sobolev) |
9.2 |
14.7 |
9.3 |
7.1 |
5.0 |
2.4 |
Political party Self Reliance Union (Samopomich) (Andriy Sadovyi, Hanna Hopko, Semen Semenchenko) |
7.0 |
13.4 |
5.1 |
4.2 |
4.6 |
3.3 |
Radical Party of Oleh Lyashko |
2.6 |
4.2 |
2.7 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
3.3 |
Political party of resolute citizens ("Partiya rishuchyh gromadyan") (Boryslav Bereza) |
0.7 |
0.5 |
1.1 |
1.7 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Political party Public control ("Narodnyi control") (Dmytro Dobrodomov, Oleh Musiy) |
0.5 |
1.3 |
0.0 |
1.3 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Political party “Opposition Bloc” (Sergiy Liovochkin, Vadym Rabinovych, Borys Kolesnikov, Yuriy Boyko) |
5.5 |
0.5 |
2.4 |
8.4 |
11.1 |
21.1 |
Political party “Party of ordinary people of Sergiy Kaplin” ("Partiya prostyh ludej") |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.0 |
2.9 |
1.2 |
0.8 |
Political party All-Ukrainian Union “Svoboda” (Oleh Tyahnybok) |
1.6 |
4.4 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.0 |
Political party All-Ukrainian union Left opposition (Petro Symonenko, Natalia Vitrenko) |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
2.9 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Political party Democratic Alliance (Vasyl Gatsko) |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Political party Civic Position (“Gromadyanska pozitsiya”) (Anatoliy Hrytsenko) |
1.5 |
3.4 |
0.7 |
2.1 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
Political party Right Sector (“Pravyi sector”) (Dmytro Yarosh) |
2.3 |
4.0 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
3.4 |
0.8 |
Political party of Sergei Tigipko "Strong Ukraine" |
0.8 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
1.7 |
2.2 |
0.8 |
Political party “Ukrainian Association of Patriots UKROP” (Borys Filatov, Hennadiy Korban) |
1.8 |
1.3 |
0.6 |
0.0 |
5.8 |
0.8 |
Political party Revival ("Vidrodzhenna") (Viktor Bondar, Artem Iljuk) |
1.1 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
2.1 |
3.1 |
0.0 |
Political party Zastup (Vira Ulianchenko) |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Party which represents your region |
1.4 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
7.1 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
Other political party |
1.2 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
3.8 |
0.0 |
WOULD SPOIL THE BALLOT |
1.4 |
0.7 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
1.9 |
2.4 |
DON’T KNOW, UNDECIDED |
35.8 |
26.1 |
48.3 |
28.5 |
32.0 |
34.1 |
WOULD NOT VOTE |
13.8 |
11.1 |
13.5 |
11.3 |
15.9 |
25.2 |
REFUSAL |
1.9 |
1.6 |
2.2 |
2.5 |
1.7 |
0.8 |
How would you evaluate the job of Petro Poroshenko as the President of Ukraine?
|
Ukraine in total |
West |
Center |
South |
East |
Donbas |
Very positive |
3.3 |
2.2 |
3.1 |
7.3 |
3.1 |
1.6 |
Rather positive |
23.9 |
31.9 |
23.5 |
20.5 |
21.0 |
7.4 |
Rather negative |
31.2 |
36.6 |
29.1 |
29.5 |
27.5 |
34.4 |
Very negative |
27.4 |
17.0 |
27.6 |
30.8 |
37.6 |
32.0 |
Hard to say |
14.3 |
12.3 |
16.7 |
12.0 |
10.8 |
24.6 |
How would you evaluate the job of Arseniy Yatsenyuk on the post of Prime Minister of Ukraine?
|
Ukraine in total |
West |
Center |
South |
East |
Donbas |
Very positive |
2.1 |
1.8 |
2.3 |
2.6 |
2.2 |
0.8 |
Rather positive |
15.2 |
21.8 |
13.6 |
10.6 |
14.7 |
4.9 |
Rather negative |
29.8 |
35.0 |
29.1 |
26.8 |
25.1 |
32.0 |
Very negative |
41.5 |
29.9 |
40.8 |
51.5 |
50.0 |
49.2 |
Hard to say |
11.4 |
11.4 |
14.2 |
8.5 |
8.0 |
13.1 |
What is the way out of the current military conflict in the Donbas you consider the most appropriate
|
Ukraine in total |
West |
Center |
South |
East |
Donbas |
Continuation of negotiations and a peaceful resolution |
78.0 |
69.8 |
73.0 |
88.6 |
86.4 |
94.3 |
Renewal of military actions and war to the liberation of Donbas |
12.6 |
20.4 |
12.3 |
7.2 |
9.2 |
0.8 |
Hard to say |
9.5 |
9.8 |
14.7 |
4.2 |
4.4 |
4.9 |
FOR THOSE WHO SUPPORT PEACEFUL RESOLUTION In your opinion, what format of negotiations would be the most effective for peaceful resolution of the conflict in Donbas?
|
Ukraine in total |
West |
Center |
South |
East |
Donbas |
Continue the current negotiations in Minsk “Norman” format – with the participation of Ukraine, Russia, Germany, France |
19.5 |
22.5 |
16.8 |
22.4 |
20.2 |
13.9 |
Start new negotiations in the new format involving leaders of the US, European Union, individual EU states (Germany, France, Poland), Russia |
33.6 |
45.4 |
37.3 |
21.0 |
25.2 |
27.0 |
Start direct negotiations between the leaders of Ukraine and Russia, without any other international participants |
20.8 |
18.8 |
19.5 |
32.4 |
16.0 |
27.0 |
Start direct negotiations between the leaders of Ukraine and DNR / LNR, without any other international participants |
11.7 |
3.2 |
8.3 |
17.6 |
20.4 |
17.4 |
Other |
1.0 |
1.3 |
1.2 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
1.7 |
HARD TO SAY |
13.4 |
8.8 |
16.8 |
5.7 |
17.9 |
13.0 |
Do you believe or do not believe that the implementation of Minsk agreements will help to establish peace in Donbas
|
Ukraine in total |
West |
Center |
South |
East |
Donbas |
Certainly believe |
6.3 |
3.1 |
4.1 |
13.0 |
10.3 |
7.3 |
Rather believe |
20.6 |
14.7 |
16.9 |
34.7 |
26.9 |
19.5 |
Rather not believe |
33.3 |
39.1 |
36.1 |
26.8 |
27.4 |
23.6 |
Certainly not believe |
27.5 |
35.3 |
28.6 |
14.6 |
21.9 |
30.1 |
HARD TO SAY |
12.3 |
7.8 |
14.4 |
10.9 |
13.5 |
19.5 |
In your opinion, are the Minsk agreements currently …
|
Ukraine in total |
West |
Center |
South |
East |
Donbas |
Fully or nearly fully executing |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
1.4 |
0.0 |
Mainly fulfilling but not completely |
20.0 |
15.6 |
15.4 |
35.6 |
24.3 |
22.0 |
Mainly not fulfilling but there are some improvements |
42.1 |
42.0 |
45.4 |
40.2 |
41.8 |
28.5 |
Not fulfilling at all |
28.8 |
37.6 |
30.5 |
15.9 |
20.4 |
33.3 |
HARD TO SAY |
8.3 |
4.2 |
8.0 |
7.9 |
12.0 |
16.3 |
Do you agree or disagree with a statement: «The Russian leadership will not contribute to the full implementation of the Minsk agreements»?
|
Ukraine in total |
West |
Center |
South |
East |
Donbas |
Fully agree |
37.7 |
57.6 |
38.7 |
23.0 |
20.1 |
29.1 |
Rather agree |
25.8 |
21.6 |
28.2 |
29.8 |
28.3 |
14.5 |
Rather disagree |
11.8 |
7.3 |
10.1 |
19.6 |
16.5 |
10.3 |
Fully disagree |
5.6 |
6.7 |
3.5 |
6.4 |
6.3 |
9.4 |
HARD TO SAY |
19.1 |
6.7 |
19.4 |
21.3 |
28.8 |
36.8 |
5.10.2015
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