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Dynamics of the attitude of the population of Ukraine to opinion polls, December 2020

The press release was prepared by Volodymyr Paniotto, Director General of KIIS. 

From December 1 to 12, 2020, the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology (KIIS) conducted an all-Ukrainian public opinion poll. By the method of personal interviewwereinterviewed 2001 respondents living in 110 settlements of all regions of Ukraine (except the Autonomous Republic of Crimea) according to a stochastic sample, representative of the population of Ukraine aged 18 and over. In Luhansk and Donetsk regions, survey was conducted only in the territories controlled by Ukraine.

The statistical error of the sample (with a probability of 0.95 and a design effect of 1.5) does not exceed: 3.3% for indicators close to 50%, 2.8% for indicators close to 25%, 2.0% - for indicators close to 10%, 1.4% - for indicators close to 5%.

 

KIIS conducts a survey of the population's attitude to opinion polls once a year, in December. The December 2020 poll showed that 41% of respondents trust the data of long-term working sociological organizations, 21% do not trust, others do not have a certain opinion about it. The level of trust in these sociological polls has not changed in recent years (in 2019 it was 42%, and in 2020 - 41%). The balance of trust and distrust (percentage of those who trust, minus the percentage of those who distrust) is + 20%, a year ago it was equal to + 21% (a small statistically insignificant decrease).

 

In particular, the survey showed that:

  • The level of trust in the results of opinion polls of organizations that have long been working and publishing the results of their researches among the population of Ukraine over the past 17 years initially increased significantly (from 36% in 2002 to 47% in 2004) and then remained more or less stable with some fluctuations (49% plus or minus 2%) until 2017, but in 2018 decreased to 43%. In 2020, the survey showed a slight decline in trust (41%).

 

Graph 1. Dynamics of the level of trust and the level of distrust in sociological centers from 2002 to 2020, %

 

  •  The balance of trust and distrust in sociological centers (percentage of those who trust, minus the percentage of those who distrust) has increased since 2013 - was + 31% in November 2013, became + 39% in 2014 and + 40% in 2015 (see Graph 2). Over the last 2 years, the balance has decreased from + 36% in 2017 to + 23% in 2018, + 21% in 2019 and + 20% in 2020
Graph 2. Balance of trust and distrust in sociological centers (percentage of those who trust, minus the percentage of those who distrust) from 2002 to 2020.
 

Annex

 

 Do you trust the results of opinion polls of organizations that have long been working and publishing the results of their researches? % of respondents 

By years:  

  2002 2004 2009 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Yes 36 47 45 51 46 48 50 50 47 43 42 41
Difficult to say 32 37 35 34 37 40 36 35 41 35 36 36
No 29 13 14 13 15 9 10 14 11 20 21 21
Refusal to answer 3 3 6 2 2 3 4 2 1 3 1 1
Balance of trust and distrust (% of those who trust minus % of those who do not trust) 7 34 31 38 31 39 40 36 36 23 23 20

 

 


18.1.2021
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