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Соціально-політична ситуація в Україні - лютий 2021

У період з 11-16 лютого 2021 р. було проведено спільне дослідження силами двох дослідницьких центрів, КМІС та СОЦИС.

Загалом було опитано 3000 респондентів - по 1500 кожним з центрів.

Метод збору первинної соціологічної інформації — телефонне інтерв’ю CATI (computer-assisted telephone interviews);

Дослідження проводилось по всій території України (в усіх областях та в т.ч. м.Київ), окрім окупованих територій АР Крим, частини Донецької та Луганскої областей; 

Результати репрезентативні на рівні всієї країни за показниками віку (старші за 18 років), статі, типу поселення (місто/село) та поділу країни на регіони;

Rating of candidates in the election of the President of Ukraine: the results of a telephone survey conducted on February 5-7, 2021

Among these candidates V. Zelenskyi would receive relatively the most votes, with 16.2% of all respondents and 22.7% of those who decided on the choice. In second place would be P. Poroshenko - 13.1% among all respondents and 18.3% among those who decided. In third place - Yuliia Tymoshenko, with indicators of 10.3% and 14.5%, respectively.

Rating of parties in the elections to the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine: results of a telephone survey conducted on February 5-7, 2021

As of February 5-7, three parties have support at once, which differs within the statistical error, in fact, these three parties "share" the first - third places. In addition, the fourth party lags minimally behind the formal leaders (and its support is lower in terms of error compared to the party that formally ranks third in the ranking). Thus, the "YeS" party would get relatively the most votes, for which 12.2% of all respondents and 18.1% of those who decided on the choice would vote; "OPZZh" party - 11.4% and 16.8%, respectively; the "Sluha Narodu" party - 10.5% and 15.5%; "Batkivshchyna" party - 8.9% and 13.2%. Next are "Syla i Chest" (respectively 4.3% and 6.3%) and the Radical Party (3.5% and 5.2%). "Sharii’s Party" (2.6% and 3.9%), "Holos" (2.5% and 3.7%) and "Hroisman's Ukrainian Strategy" are slightly below the barrier to entry. (2.1% and 3.2%).

Trust in social institutions and parties: December 2020

Volunteers, ordinary people in their locality, the army and the Church continue to enjoy the greatest trust in Ukrainian society.

74% of respondents trust volunteers who help the army, which is 11 percentage points higher than in 2018. 66% of respondents trust volunteers who help IDPs (compared to 61% in 2018). 67% trust ordinary people in their locality (almost unchanged compared to 2018, when the indicator was 68%). 66% trust the Armed Forces of Ukraine, which is 15 percentage points more than in 2018. 52% trust the Church (in 2018 – 51%).

Level of trust in politicians, electoral rating and attitude to certain initiatives / events: January 2021

In general, the percentage of those who do not trust all politicians is higher than the percentage of those who trust, except for I. Smeshko (balance is + 3.7%) and D. Razumkov (+ 2.1%), for whom the percentages of those trust and those who do not trust are about the same. Most respondents trust V. Klychko (37.5% trust and 51.8% do not trust, the balance of trust and distrust is -14.3%), V. Zelenskyi (35.6% against 59.6%, balance - -24%), V. Hroisman (30.9% against 54.2%, balance – -23.3%), Yu. Boiko (28.9% against 48.4%, balance – -19.5%), S. Prytula (27.3% against 39.1%, balance – -11.8%), D. Razumkov (26.6% against 28.6%, balance – -2.1%), Yu. Tymoshenko (26.2% against 69%, balance – -42.8%), O. Liashko (25% against 68.8%, balance – -43.8%), P. Poroshenko (22.7% against 74.4%, balance – -51.7%) and I. Smeshko (22.3% against 18.7%, balance – +3.7%).  Level of trust in other politicians is below 20%.