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2
november
2021
Socio-political moods of the population of Ukraine: the results of a survey conducted on October 25-29, 2021 by the method of personal ("face-to-face") interviews

On October 25-29, 2021, the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology (KIIS) conducted an all-Ukrainian public opinion poll. By the method of personal (“face-to-face”) interview using a tablet (CAPI, computer-assisted personal interviews)  2028 respondents living in 103 settlements of all regions of Ukraine (except the Autonomous Republic of Crimea) were interviewed by a 3-stage stochastic sample with quota selection at the last stage, which is representative of the population of Ukraine over 18 years of age.

In Luhansk and Donetsk regions, the survey was conducted only in the territory controlled by the Ukrainian authorities.

The statistical error of the sample (with a probability of 0.95 and a design effect of 1.5) does not exceed: 3.3% for indicators close to 50%, 2.9% - for indicators close to 25%, 2.2% - for indicators close to 12%, 1.5% - for indicators close to 5%.

 

The first wave of the survey was conducted on June 22-29, 2021 according to the same methodology, and the second wave was conducted on July 24-August 1. Where relevant, the dynamics of indicators during June-October 2021 are given.

23
september
2021
Dynamics of the rating of parties in the elections to the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine and candidates in the elections of the President of Ukraine: the results of a telephone survey conducted on September 10-15, 2021

During September 10-15, 2021, the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology (KIIS) conducted its own all-Ukrainian public opinion poll "Omnibus". By the method of computer-assisted telephone interviews (CATI) based on a random sample of mobile phone numbers (with random generation of phone numbers and subsequent statistical weighing) were surveyed 2002 respondents living in all regions of Ukraine (except AR of Crimea) . The sample is representative for the adult population (18 years and older) of Ukraine. The sample does not include territories that are temporarily not controlled by the authorities of Ukraine - the Autonomous Republic of Crimea, certain districts of Donetsk and Luhansk regions.

In Luhansk and Donetsk regions, the survey was conducted only in the territory controlled by the Ukrainian authorities.

Statistical sampling error (with a probability of 0.95 and taking into account the design effect of 1.1) does not exceed: 2.4% for indicators close to 50%, 2.1% for indicators close to 25%, 1.5% - for indicators close to 10%, 1.1% - for indicators close to 5%.           

4
august
2021
Суспільно-політичні настрої населення України: результати опитування, проведеного 24 липня-1 серпня 2021 року методом особистих (“face-to-face”) інтерв’ю

З 24 липня-1 серпня 2021 року Київський міжнародний інститут соціології (КМІС) провів всеукраїнське опитування громадської думки. Методом особистого (“face-to-face”) інтерв’юз використанням планшета (CAPI, computer-assisted personal interviews) опитано 2028 респондентів, що мешкають у 105 населених пунктах усіх регіонів України (крім АР Крим) за 3-х ступеневою стохастичною вибіркою з квотним відбором на останньому ступені, що репрезентативна для населення України віком від 18 років.

У Луганській і Донецькій областях опитування проводилося тільки на території, що контролюється українською владою.

Статистична похибка вибірки (з імовірністю 0,95 і за дизайн–ефекту 1,5) не перевищує: 3,3% для показників близьких до 50%, 2,9% — для показників близьких до 25%, 2,2% — для показників близьких до 12%, 1,5% — для показників близьких до 5%.

 

Протягом 22-29 червня 2021 року за ідентичною методологією була проведена перша хвиля опитування. Де це було релевантно, наводиться динаміка показників упродовж червня-липня 2021 року.

5
july
2021
Socio-political moods of the population of Ukraine: the results of the research conducted on June 22-29, 2021 by the method of personal ("face-to-face") interviews
If parliamentary elections were held in late June, 7 parties would pass to the parliament. The party "Sluha Narodu" would receive the greatest support (20.6% among those who decided on the choice). The second place with approximately the same support (within the statistical error) is "shared" by "OPZZh" (16.9%), "YeS" (15%) and "Batkivshchyna" (14.7%). Also gaining more than 5% "Syla i Chest" (7%), LRP (5.7%) and "Hroisman's Ukrainian Strategy" (5.1%);
10
june
2021
Dynamics of the rating of parties in the elections to the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine and candidates in the elections of the President of Ukraine: the results of a telephone survey conducted on June 1-7, 2021

Until the registration of parties and candidates, any list of candidates has the right to exist. Meanwhile, the rating of a candidate depends on how many candidates from the same electoral field are on the list - the more of them, the lower the rating of each candidate. The same applies to parties. In addition, a significant role is played by who is considered the party leader. Therefore, now, before the registration of the lists of candidates / parties, all the obtained data on the ratings are conditional and depend on the list offered to the respondents. At the same time, the more different the lists, the less substantiated is the comparison of the results obtained with different lists. In addition, the results of the survey are influenced by a number of factors, such as the survey method (telephone survey or face-to-face survey, and "inside" these methods are also affected by a specific implementation - for example, completely random sampling or quota sampling), the order and context of the questions in the questionnaire (including the influence of which question is asked earlier - about the parliamentary or presidential elections), etc.

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