KYIV
INTERNATIONAL
INSTITUTE of
SOCIOLOGY
sociological and
marketing
research
 
office@kiis.com.ua

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7
april
2019
Comparison of pre-election polls and exit-polls with elections` results President of Ukraine, 2019 (1st round)

 

The version is corrected with the account of the contributors on Facebook

The most accurate pre-election survey appeared to be from KIIS (average deviation - 1.2), in the second place there is the survey of SOCIS (1.5), followed by a telephone survey of KIIS and "Rating" (2.1 each), followed by "Info Sapiens" (2.3) and Razumkov Center ( 2.4).

As to exit-polls, the most accurate results are in "National exit-poll" (KIIS, Razumkov Center, DI) as well, although all exit-polls were very close in accuracy - the average deviation is 0.8-1.3.

31
march
2019
NATIONAL EXIT POLL-2019 DATA ON THE RESULTS OF THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS AS OF 8 PM

On March 31, 2019, the day of elections of the President of Ukraine, the National Exit Poll-2019 Consortium, which is made up of the Ilko Kucheriv Democratic Initiatives Foundation (DIF), the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology (KIIS) and the Oleksandr Razumkov Economic and Political Studies Center (Razumkov Centre), has conducted the National Exit Poll-2019.

DIF is responsible for financial and media management of the exit poll. KIIS is responsible for scientific management of the project, development of the sample, and coordination of the polling. The polling of voters at the exits of polling stations has been conducted by the KIIS and Razumkov Center.

31
march
2019
National exit poll-2019 data on the results of the presidential elections as of 6 pm
1 ZELENSKY Volodymyr 30,4%
2 POROSHENKO Petro 17,8%
3 TYMOSHENKO Yulia 14,2%
28
march
2019
A week before elections of the President: ratings of candidates, choice motivation, expectations of citizens

A nationwide survey of the population of Ukraine was conducted by Ilko Kucheriv Democratic Initiatives Foundation in conjunction with Kyiv International Institute of Sociology. The field study lasted from March 20 to March 26, 2019. In total, 1600 respondents were interviewed in all regions of Ukraine, except for the Autonomous Republic of Crimea. In Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts, the poll was conducted only in the territories controlled by Ukraine.

The statistical error (with a probability of 0.95 and a design effect of 1.5) does not exceed: 3.7% for indicators close to 50%, 3.2% - for indicators close to 25%, 2.2% - for indicators close to 10%, 1.7% - for indicators close to 5%.

The funding of the survey was carried out within the framework of the MATRA project of the Embassy of the Kingdom of the Netherlands.


25
march
2019
Джерела інформації, медіаграмотність і російська пропаганда
З 9 по 20 лютого 2019 року Київський міжнародний інститут соціології (КМІС) провів на замовлення ГО "Детектор медіа" всеукраїнське опитування громадської думки. Методом особистого інтерв'ю опитано 2042 респонденти, що мешкають у 110 населених пунктах усіх регіонів України (крім АР Крим) за 4-х ступеневою стохастичною вибіркою, що репрезентативна для населення України віком від 18 років. У Луганській і Донецькій областях опитування проводилося тільки на території, що контролюється українською владою.
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